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About Turkey-2001

Population: 66.2 million
Population per sq. km: 86
Population growth (1990-2001): 1.5%
Life expectancy: 70 years
Population below national poverty line : ..
GDP per capita(current US$): 2,230
GDP(current US$): 147,683 million
GDP Growth: -7.4%
Data from National Statistical Offices, IMF, IFS, WDI 2002 and Staff estimates.     


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Turkey Country Brief.pdf

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Overview

Turkey is a dynamic, emerging market economy strategically located between Europe and Asia and bordering the Mediterranean, Aegean and Black Seas. Over 73 percent of its 65 million people live in urban areas. Agriculture accounts for some 16 percent of its GDP, industry for 24 percent, and services for 60 percent. Turkey signed a customs union with the European Union (EU) in 1995 and became a candidate for EU membership at the Helsinki Summit in December 1999. Although Turkey is the world’s 17th most industrialized nation, it ranks 85th out of 173 countries in terms of Human Development Indicators, as measured by the UNDP in 2002.

After the elections of 1999, the Government launched an extensive economic reform program to overcome chronic high inflation and restore sustained growth. In parallel it started the process of modernizing the role of the state in the economy, and addressing deep-rooted social and environmental problems. This multi-faceted program aims to lay the ground for macroeconomic stability and higher growth, to modernize institutions, as well as to reduce economic vulnerability and address the remaining pockets of poverty. The World Bank is fully engaged in supporting this effort.

After the crises in late 2000 and early 2001, the Government outlined a new economic program to bring about a rapid turnaround in the economy. The new program goes much deeper than previous attempts in addressing the structural roots of the crisis – weak public finances and a fragile banking system – while strengthening social programs. The program also aims to bring Turkey closer to its goal of EU accession.

The key structural and social elements of this new economic program are a strong focus on public sector reform, building a sound banking sector and liberalization of markets for private sector led growth, as well as special emphasis on strengthening social assistance. Its main features are:

  • Large fiscal adjustment in the context of a macro-economic framework designed to bring down inflation and interest rates, and ensure sustainability of public debt.
  • Rapid restructuring of the banking sector, especially restructuring and privatization of state banks and resolution of intervened private banks, and measures to reduce connected lending.
  • Strengthened public sector management and governance, including improvements in public expenditure management, public procurement, accounting and auditing, and anti-corruption measures.
  • Market liberalization in energy and telecommunications, together with establishment of independent regulatory bodies.
  • Privatization of state-owned enterprises, including Turk Telekom, the national airline, petroleum refineries, and iron and steel companies.
  • Continuation of agriculture sector reform to liberalize the sector and raise rural incomes, shifting from price subsidies to direct income payments to farmers.
  • Strengthening social assistance to help people adversely affected by the crisis.

    The macro-economic picture and the debt dynamics are important risk factors. Following the latest crisis, Turkey faces much higher public debt ratios than before. The viability of the macro-economic framework is being enhanced by external financing from the IMF and IBRD. The program’s combination of immediate upfront measures and a blueprint for the medium term aims to strengthen investor confidence, which is crucial to economic recovery.

    Focus of World Bank Assistance

    The World Bank is assisting the Government of Turkey in overcoming a series of economic crises, and setting the country on a path of sustained and steady economic development, as well as in improving the living conditions of its population. It supports Turkey’s economic transition with an extensive program of lending, technical assistance, as well as analytical and policy advice. The Bank's Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) for 2000 is built around five themes:

  • implementing reforms for growth and employment generation;
  • improving public management and accountability;
  • expanding social services and social protection;
  • strengthening environmental management and disaster mitigation;
  • accelerating connectivity and technological capability.

    In July 2001, recognizing the impact of the economic crisis in Turkey, and building upon opportunities created by the Government’s new economic program, the Bank issued a CAS Progress Report that restructured the 2000 program to make it more responsive to changed circumstances. The key structural and social elements of this new economic program are a strong focus on:

  • banking and public sector reform;
  • strengthening the country's social protection system;
  • continuation of the Bank's long-term support to programs in education, health, community-based watershed management, and community development and heritage.

    In banking and public sector reform, the CAS Update included a first Programmatic Financial and Public Sector Adjustment Loan (PFPSAL) of $1.1 billion in July 2001, followed by a second PFPSAL II approved in May 2002, for the amount of US$1.35 billion. The CAS Update also included a loan to support the Social Risk Mitigation Project, which was approved in September 2001. An Agriculture Reform Implementation Project will support structural reform in agriculture and the implementation of a direct income support system for farmers.

    For further details please see the World Bank's Country Assistance Strategy for Turkey for 2001-2003, and the CAS Progress Report of 2001.

    Impact on the Ground

    In collaboration with the Government and other partners, in particular the IMF and increasingly the EU, World Bank programs have helped make a significant difference on the ground over the past several years. The major results achieved are :

    Enrollment in schools increased, with more rapid enrollment by girls, and the quality of education improved. World Bank support to the country's Basic Education Program has helped increase enrollment in schools by 1.2 million, with more rapid enrollment for girls. Computers have been provided to 6,000 urban and 22,000 rural schools all over the country. Over 22,000 rural schools have benefited from the provision of educational materials. More than 600,000 children in the least served areas have been given access to education. In-service training has been provided to 370,000 school inspectors, teachers and administrators.

    Back-to-school and winter heating support was provided to the most vulnerable. Over 1 million poor school children have benefited from back-to-school support and 400, 000 poor households have been assisted with winter heating and food. Some 2,000,000 children have benefited from 6 pilot schemes to fund cash transfers to the poorest families upon the condition that they demonstrate that their young children receive basic healthcare and attend school. A system to monitor poverty, based on annual Household Income and Expenditures Surveys has also been established.

    Afforestation, irrigation and training led to better management of natural resources. A total of 88 micro-catchments in 11 provinces were rehabilitated and rural income was increased by some US$ 600 per family per year. An area of 27,000 hectares was afforested for soil conservation purposes. Some 20,000 hectares of rangeland in forest areas was rehabilitated and small scale irrigation was developed over 12,368 hectares. Some 1.2 million wild pistachio trees were grafted over an area of 6,000 hectares and 1,533 technical government personnel were trained in participatory watershed management.

    Timely assistance was delivered to victims of the Marmara earthquake. Cash assistance of some US$ 250 million helped over 200,000 families in tent cities. Since 1999, some 15,000 housing units have been completed and distributed. Approximately 2.4 million insurance policies have been issued since the catastrophic insurance pool scheme was launched in September 2000. A targeted trauma program was launched, which included the design and implementation of a mental health strategy, with special emphasis on emergency preparedness.

    Public Expenditure Management improved. The primary budget reflected a sizeable surplus of 5-6 percent of GNP in 2000-01 . The budgetary envelopes for health, education and social protection were protected. Most extra-budgetary funds (EBFs) were eliminated to improve the transparency and comprehensiveness of the budget. Legislation eliminating all existing provisions authorizing creation of duty losses in the state banks was adopted. The public investment program was rationalized which resulted in the reduction of an estimated 32 percent in the average completion time of investment projects in the 2002 budget. Some 15,000 public sector workers were retired in late 2001/early 2002 to reduce costs.

    Progress was made in institutional reform and improved governance. A new public procurement agency was established and a new public procurement law was enacted that will reduce costs by 50 percent , in addition to corruption. A middle office for public debt management was established in the Treasury and a public debt law was enacted. A new internet-based public accounting system was introduced. Complex indirect taxation was simplified with the introduction of a Special Consumption Tax. The public pension system adopted in 1999 that contained deficits of 2 percent of GNP was reformed . Public awareness of the anti-corruption/good governance agenda was increased through Diagnostic Surveys conducted by the Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation.

    A clean-up and reform of the banking sector was undertaken. An independent banking authority was established. State banks, whose losses had amounted to over US$ 20 billion (over 10 percent of GNP) were cleaned up. A new Banking Act, and accompanying regulation, up to EU standards was enacted. Some 19 insolvent banks, whose losses amounted to over US$ 10 billion (over 5 percent of GNP) were closed. The remaining banks were offered a bank re-capitalization scheme.

    The Real Sector was helped to overcome crisis. The framework on corporate sector restructuring (Istanbul Approach), that will assist 200-250 debt-laden companies to recover, was developed. Technical assistance and access to medium term finance was provided to exporters through the Export Finance Intermediation Loan (EFIL) with net increases in exports of over US$ 300 million / year.

    Investment was promoted. Constitutional change to allow International Arbitration was approved. FDI legislation was revised. (The previous legislation had been approved in 1954.) A Patent Institute was established and a new Patent Law submitted to Parliament to protect industrial property.

    Markets were improved. State Monopolies in electricity and the telecommunication sector were unbundled. The Electricity Market Law was passed in March 2001 and the Gas Market Law in May 2001. An energy regulatory agency ( EMRA ) was established and a petroleum distribution company (POAS) was privatized. A regulatory agency for telecommunication was established in May 2001 and a new plan for corporatization and privatization of Turk Telecom was approved in May 2002.

    Agriculture was modernized. Distortive output and input subsidies were reduced by 70 percent , from US$5 billion in 1999 to US$1.65 billion in 2001. A Direct Income Support Program was established that benefited some 2.3 million farmers. A wheat and cotton grading system was developed as a first step toward receipt-based ( de-materialized) trading. Research master plans in agriculture and forestry were established to provide mid to long term prioritization of agricultural research systems.

    For details of World Bank projects in Turkey, please click here.

    Challenges Ahead

  • Completing the reform agenda on the eve of early elections.
  • More broad-based development is needed to bridge the gaps between the fast growing and slower segments of society.
  • Fostering health reform to improve Turkey’s health indicators.
  • Developing and implementing local government reform which is critical for improvements in local infrastructure.
  • EU accession is very important for Turkey's long term prospects.

    World Bank Partners in Turkey

    SECTOR
    LEAD NATIONAL AGENCY
    PARTNERS
    Agriculture
      Ministry of Agriculture and
      Ministry of Industry and Trade
      UNDP
      HealthMinistry of Health
        UNDP / UNICEF
      EnvironmentMinistry of Environment Turkish Technology Development Foundation,
      Financial SectorCentral Bank
      Ministry of Finance
      Undersecretariat of Treasury
      IMF, Turk Eximbank
      InfrastructureMinistry of Public WorksEBRD, General Directorate of Highways,
      EducationMinistry of National Education UNDP, Mother and Child Education Foundation
      SocialMinistry of Labor and Social ProtectionEU / UNDP, Privatization Administration
      EnergyMinistry of Energy TEIAS


      World Bank Lending to Turkey

      Total IBRD / IDA Commitments from FY91 to FY02 : US$ 9,954 million
      21 projects are ongoing, including two grants—a Biodiversity Project funded by the Global Environment Facility equivalent to US$ 8.2 million, and a Second Ozone-Depleting Substance Phase-Out Project supported by Montreal Protocol funds equivalent to US$14.0 million.

      (by fiscal year, in nearest US$ millions)
      up to 1995
      1996
      1997
      1998
      1999
      2000
      2001
      2002
      Total
      Commitments
      2,143
      312
      20
      603
      528
      1,770
      1,028
      3,550
      9,954
      Disbursements
      1,900
      611
      328
      259
      249
      958
      820
      1,679
      6,804

      Total Commitments by Sector * from 1991
      (in nearest US$ Millions)



      * A new Bank sector and thematic coding system was introduced in FY02. Under this new system, themes represent the development objectives of the operation, whereas sector codes for investment operations reflect the parts of the economy receiving direct support, and for adjustment operations, the sectors being impacted by the operation's conditionalities. Thus, a given adjustment operation may span a number of sectors depending on the reform measures being implemented by the loan and may, for example, show up in education, health, trade and industry or other categories, even though there may not be a direct investment in that sector.

      Fiscal year from July 1-June 30.

      For more information please contact:

      In Ankara: Tunya Celasin, phone: + (90 - 312) 446 38 24
      E-mail: tcelasin@worldbank.org


      September 2002